GP Race-3 PPX example…

[DanG]

03/03/2007 GP Race- 2 / #8, “Sahara Heat”

Discussing the PPX the other day with Carl, and this race is a good working example.

4Th start for the horse. Two nondescript sprints, followed by a solid turf try.

• Last turf pedigree = 446
• Today routing on the dirt? = 936

3 Dirt works in the interim all better than the previous (Last being an "A") added to the confidence and 8-1, really added to the confidence. As we all know, it’s not an exact science, but this data is by and large completely lost on the public. :)

BTW: Cruz almost blew this ride. He had Pletcher's horse put away with a strong hand ride. When he went to the whip the horse sulked and started that tell tale sign of swishing his tail which normally means…Stop hitting me you idiot!!! (Or, something to that effect :p )
He was lucky to win the picture.

IMO: Something that is lost on many riders…I wish they could study a Pincay hand ride and see just how effective it can be. I’m with Trevor Denman 110%...Abolish the whips already. It’s barbaric and it does NOT help our great sports image either. My step-daughter and X-wife cringe every time their whipped. (BTW: Both own and REALLY love horses)

OK…Off the soapbox and back to the races!!! :D

[AwolAtHTR]

good job, DanG

20070303 GP 4th #8 $18.60 $9.00 $5.80

just got around to looking at this, yup, missed the bet!!

as you said '..it’s not an exact science..

but with these prices the art can be fun

[DanG]

Thanks Duane,

Speaking of Pletcher, how about the 4th…

He starts 2 FTS and big surprise…He runs 1-2, but the odds were 3-1 and the 50-1 :eek: ran a fast closing (altered course) 2nd.

The crowd is OBSESSED by which one JR chooses. So often they are right, but Todd has so few culls 50-1 was outrageous! :eek: :eek:

[Donnie]

Dan--
Stop whipping your wife and daughter and they'll probably stop cringing....:D

<let me apologize right now! I really could not resist!>

[Donnie]

Dan--
to your point tho...the good trainers know the breeding of their stock and they move them to the proper surface once they feel the animal is fit. These are always HUGE tournament plays for me!
BTW...I don't know what I did with the old PPX...I must have overwritten it with the QUICK PPX version....can someone email it to me? I would be forever in your debt!

[Rick]

I have most versions going back. The question is how far back. Jul 06?

[DanG]

Dan--
Stop whipping your wife and daughter and they'll probably stop cringing....:D

<let me apologize right now! I really could not resist!>
LOL Donnie!

Who told? :D

[DanG]

Dan--
to your point tho...the good trainers know the breeding of their stock and they move them to the proper surface once they feel the animal is fit. These are always HUGE tournament plays for me!
That is so true.

I keep reminding myself just how much the top barns know about these animals before there first race. Pletcher’s dad breaks many of his baby’s and he has a REAL good idea in the morning working in company who can do what.

There off in the 7th...

[Donnie]

I like the 8 here in the 8th....but then again your other thread says Rene ain't gonna get 'er done!

[DanG]

BTW:

That was just Turf Routes Donnie, and as fate would have it... it’s already been burned in the first…now…3 / 241. :eek: