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njcurveball
4th December 2006, 02:06.47 PM
I have been testing the new export "top" fields for awhile and have not been able to show any improvement using them.

Is there some technique I am missing, or is this the norm?

I was able to improve on a number of factors using the ML favorite odds and whether there is a K110, HF, or XF in a race.

I thought I was pretty good at "data mining". ;-)

Anyone have a hint for me?

thanks,
Jim

DanG
5th December 2006, 09:07.36 PM
Jim;

Quick thought…

Don’t forget the negative aspect of “tops” that we can use.

Poly / Cushion routes… (Hol, Kee, TP & WO)

Pace tops have been HORRIBLE overall. (TP has two bombs that skew their ROI)

• HOL 0 / 25…$0.00
• KEE 3 / 42…$0.46
• TP 50 / 479…$0.87 (W/O the two > a C-note, $0.62)
• WO 11 / 118...$0.47

Note: Kee pre Poly was…20% wins $1.94 :eek:

Of course; negative stats can be even more rewarding than positive ones.

The following tracks have ALL hovered around profitability in Pace Top Dirt Routes…
(ALB, BM, BMF, CBY, FPX, NP, PM, PRM, SAR, STK, TDN, TUP)

njcurveball
6th December 2006, 12:11.58 AM
Thanks for your interesting thoughts Dan!

Certainly something to consider and test.

Jim