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njcurveball
19th October 2006, 06:50.36 PM
I am working on my database, but my day job just takes up too much time. :D

If someone is playing Polytrack, this would be my suggestion for a test. Take your menu du jour K contenders, I would suggest top 5. From them, rank by %early, lowest being #1. Then record win% and ROI by rank.

If you choose 5 contenders, than 20% would be a "random" win% to make sure you weren't too far below if you show a big profit.

If someone wants to post the results here, I would love to see it.

I play mostly night tracks, Meadowlands, Mountaineer, Hoosier, Retama, Charles Town. So I will try to get to this, it may take a while.

I am interested with all the discussion about how the track is "set up" for closers.

thanks,
Jim

HaroldFA
20th October 2006, 04:17.49 PM
NJ:

This may provide you with some insight into the Polytrack races at KEE. From the start of the meet (Oct-7) through yesterday (Oct-19) there were 78 races run on the Polytrack - 47 Sprints and 31 Routes.

For the Sprint Winners 42 had ED (Energy Distribution) Ratings since there were 5 FTS Winners in Maiden Races. The Avg ED: 52.0, Median ED: 51.9, StdDev: 1.4, MaxED: 57.1 - this was a horse coming off a very long layoff with BlinkersOff, MinED: 50.0

The RS for the Sprint Winners: F 2 (4.3%), E 14 (29.8%), P 21 (44.7%), S 10 ( 21.3%), R 0

The Average WPS Prices for the Sprint Races: $W:15.96, $P:7.49, $S:4.72

For the 31 Route Winners - AvgED: 50.8, MedianED: 50.7, StdDev: 1.3, MaxED:53.2,
MinED: 49.0

The RS for the Route Winners: F 0, E 4 (12.9%), P 12 (38.7%), S 14 (45.2%), R 1 (3.2%)

The Average WPS Prices for the Route Races: $W: 20.28, $P: 7.69, $S: 4.85

Be sure to read the Beyer Article in yesterday's (Oct-19th) Washington Post. KM provided a Link in the General Discussion Area. Loved Ken's comment. As always - KM is "THE MAN"!

njcurveball
20th October 2006, 11:30.19 PM
Thanks for the reply Harold.

Hope you are doing well at Keeneland!

Best to you,
Jim