Winner on 5000 Plays

[Victor]

8/20/03 thru 12/31/05
HTR=1
TRN=1
nRS=1 or 2
nLONG=1 or 2
Total Bets 5194
WIN PLACE SHOW
Total Amount Bet 10388.00 10388.00 10388.00
Wins 1697 2562 3069
Pct. 32.67% 49.33% 59.09%
Amount Won 10757.40 10076.00 9513.00
Profit/Loss 369.40 -312.00 -875.00
Pct Profit Loss 3.56% -3.00% -8.42%
Avg. Payout 6.34 3.93 3.10

[Victor]

Used the Feb 8, 2005 version to create the export.

[MikeDee]

here is your spot play from 1/1 throuh 2/13 sorted by track

TRK Wins Plays Win% aveMut amtWon amtP/L $ROI
MNR 1 2 50% $39 $39 $35 9.75
BEU 1 11 9% $8 $8 ($14) 0.36
BM 1 5 20% $6 $6 ($4) 0.60
CT 1 4 25% $15 $15 $7 1.88
EVD 0 12 0% $0 $0 ($24) 0.00
GP 2 10 20% $36 $72 $52 3.60
HOU 0 1 0% $0 $0 ($2) 0.00
AQU 0 3 0% $0 $0 ($6) 0.00
LRL 0 7 0% $0 $0 ($14) 0.00
OP 0 1 0% $0 $0 ($2) 0.00
PHA 0 9 0% $0 $0 ($18) 0.00
SA 1 5 20% $11 $11 $1 1.10
TAM 2 15 13% $9 $18 ($12) 0.60
TP 0 4 0% $0 $0 ($8) 0.00
TUP 1 1 0% $25 $25 $23 12.50
LAD 1 3 33% $11 $11 $5 1.83
Tot 11 93 12% $0 $205 $19 1.10

[Victor]

tTRK tDATE nRACE tPGM tHOR xFIN xWIN xPLA xSHO rHTR rTRN nRS nLONG
AQU 2/4/06 7 3 Storm N Lightning 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2
BEU 2/1/06 4 1 Defiant Lord 2 $0.00 $4.80 $3.40 1 1 2 1
BEU 2/6/06 5 2 Shamrocks Fibber 3 $0.00 $0.00 $3.80 1 1 1 2
BEU 2/6/06 9 7 Speedy Pie 1 $7.60 $4.00 $3.00 1 1 2 2
BEU 2/8/06 3 6 Shark in the Park 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2
BEU 2/15/06 7 2 Affirmlode 1 $10.20 $4.40 $3.20 1 1 2 2
BEU 2/15/06 8 6 Wheaton One 1 $13.00 $6.20 $6.60 1 1 2 2
BM 2/5/06 3 3 Rare Request 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2
CT 2/4/06 8 8 Lady Rhinestone 1 $15.20 $8.20 $5.80 1 1 1 2
EVD 2/3/06 7 7 All South 2 $0.00 $2.80 $2.80 1 1 2 2
EVD 2/8/06 1 4 Dontcallmedirt 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2
EVD 2/8/06 5 6 Heberts Impact 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2
EVD 2/8/06 6 9 Future Justice 2 $0.00 $11.60 $4.60 1 1 2 1
EVD 2/11/06 2 3 Good Knight Max 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 1 1
EVD 2/15/06 7 1 Apollo Mission 1 $13.00 $6.00 $5.80 1 1 1 1
FON 2/11/06 1 6 Rockin' Rita 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 1
GP 2/8/06 9 5 Mighty Mecke 3 $0.00 $0.00 $7.40 1 1 2 2
GP 2/9/06 6 9 Mutakaway 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 1 2
GP 2/13/06 4 6 Casino Raider 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 1 2
GP 2/16/06 8 10 Harbor Master 1 $20.00 $8.80 $5.60 1 1 2 2
LRL 2/3/06 1 6 Hot Prince 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2
LRL 2/4/06 6 2 Silver Hello 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2
LRL 2/10/06 8 3 Not for Sam 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2
LRL 2/15/06 7 4 Maupin 1 $13.00 $7.80 $5.80 1 1 1 2
MNR 2/14/06 6 9 Weasel Time 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2
PM 2/4/06 4 5 Rose's Thistle 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2
SA 2/12/06 8 6 Seafree 1 $11.20 $5.20 $14.40 1 1 1 2
SUN 2/5/06 10 1 Double J Ranch 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2
SUN 2/11/06 8 7 Maruka 1 $40.00 $11.80 $6.00 1 1 2 2
SUN 2/14/06 2 1 El Whapo 1 $27.60 $14.40 $7.40 1 1 2 2
SUN 2/14/06 10 6 Pronto One 2 $0.00 $7.40 $4.40 1 1 2 2
TAM 2/10/06 4 12 Cut the Ribbon 2 $0.00 $15.80 $11.80 1 1 2 1
TAM 2/10/06 10 8 You Are My Destiny 2 $0.00 $5.00 $3.20 1 1 1 2
TAM 2/11/06 6 8 Marchella 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 1 1 2 2

[Victor]

Total Bets 34
WIN PLACE SHOW
Total Amount Bet 68.00 68.00 68.00
Wins 10 16 18
Pct. 29.41% 47.06% 52.94%
Amount Won 170.80 124.20 105.00
Profit/Loss 102.80 56.20 37.00
Pct Profit Loss 151.18% 82.65% 54.41%
Avg. Payout 17.08 7.76 5.83

[Victor]

Total Bets 77
WIN PLACE SHOW
Total Amount Bet 154.00 154.00 154.00
Wins 10 22 32
Pct. 12.99% 28.57% 41.56%
Amount Won 172.40 150.30 140.90
Profit/Loss 18.40 -3.70 -13.10
Pct Profit Loss 11.95% -2.40% -8.51%
Avg. Payout 17.24 6.83 4.40

[Victor]

Mike,

This spot was designed for all tracks. If I split it up will it predict based upon that?

[MikeDee]

The theory, (in my opinion) would be that given a large enough sample by track the results would be the same regardless of track. But I would guess that in practice the result is not the same.

Try it on your large sample, look at your results by track, are the results more or less the same or do you find that it worked better at some tracks versus others?